The historical data indicates a fluctuating trend in the number of scientific publications in ophthalmology in Argentina. In 2013, the number of publications stood at 20.57 units, with the subsequent years displaying variations such as a 41.82% increase in 2013 followed by a 14.16% decrease in 2014. The period saw a significant drop in 2016 by 57.56%, reaching a nadir before recovering dramatically by 94.28% in 2017. Between 2018 and 2023, the number of publications showed moderate fluctuations, culminating in 21.81 units in 2023. The average annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years stands at 1.75%.
For the years 2024 to 2028, forecast data suggests a gradual increase in publications, reaching 24.88 units in 2028. This corresponds to a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 2.08%, indicating a steady growth rate despite minor fluctuations. The overall forecasted 5-year growth rate from 2024 to 2028 is projected at 10.86%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of emerging technologies and research funding in ophthalmology, collaboration between institutions, and the role of digital platforms in increasing publication outputs.
