In 2023, the Baccille Calmette Guérin (BCG) immunization coverage in the Philippines was 71% of children aged 1 year old. Based on the forecasted data, the coverage is set to steadily decline over the next five years: 70% in 2024, 69% in 2025, 68% in 2026, 67% in 2027, and reaching 66% in 2028. The year-on-year variation shows a consistent decrease of approximately 1.4% annually. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this period is projected to be -1.43%, indicating a steady decline in immunization coverage.
Future trends to watch for include potential policy changes aimed at improving vaccination rates, public health campaigns to raise awareness, and shifts in healthcare infrastructure that could either mitigate or exacerbate the declining trend. Additionally, economic factors and accessibility issues could influence future coverage rates.
