The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific biotechnology publications in the US is on a gradual decline, as foreseen from 2024 to 2028. The forecasted data indicates a decrease from 91.32% in 2024 to 90.86% in 2028, suggesting a modest, yet consistent downward trend. This shift reflects changing dynamics in research collaboration and possibly increased international contributions.
The year-on-year variation displays minimal changes, averaging around a -0.12% decrease per annum. This gradual decline results in a cumulative reduction over the five-year forecast period.
Future trends to watch for include evolving research collaboration patterns, increased interdisciplinary studies, and the globalization of biotechnology, which might further impact the share of US-leading authors. Monitoring how these factors interact will be crucial for understanding shifts in scientific publication dynamics.