The share of practicing physicians aged 35-44 in the US is projected to gradually decline from 21.17% in 2024 to 20.86% in 2028. This trend indicates a consistent annual decrease, with minor year-on-year declines ranging from roughly 0.09% to 0.14%. As of 2023, this share stood at 21.26%, highlighting a slight downtrend over the period. Over the upcoming five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is negative, suggesting a steady reduction in this age group's proportion relative to total practicing physicians.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential changes in training and recruitment patterns that could affect the demographics of incoming physicians.
Evolving healthcare demands and policy changes impacting physician career longevity.
The influence of retirement trends in older age cohorts on openings for younger physicians.