The number of practicing physicians aged 45-54 in Italy is forecasted to decrease from 36.7 thousand in 2024 to 24.91 thousand in 2028. Comparing the year-on-year variations, the decline is significant: approximately 8.18% from 2024 to 2025, 8.77% from 2025 to 2026, 9.54% from 2026 to 2027, and 10.42% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) forecasts an average annual decline of approximately 9.16% over this five-year period.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential policy responses to offset the declining physician workforce.
Impact of retirement rates and changes in medical education pipelines on the physician age demographic.
Technological advancements that may mitigate the effects of a shrinking physician workforce.