In 2023, lignite gross heat production in Germany stood at an actual value reflecting historical usage patterns. From 2024 onwards, forecasts predict a sharp decline: 2024 sees a value of 4.38 thousand gigawatt-hours, decreasing significantly each year to reach 0.99924 thousand gigawatt-hours by 2028. This reflects a yearly decline, highlighted by a 5-year CAGR that underscores a substantial reduction in lignite heat usage.

Future trends to watch for:

Continued emphasis on renewable energy sources potentially accelerating lignite's decline.
Policy shifts that may influence the pace of lignite phase-out.
Technological advancements offering alternative energy solutions.