Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Obstetrics and Gynecology in Brazil

In 2023, Brazil's share of scientific publications among the world's top 10% cited in Obstetrics and Gynecology stood at 6.81%. Forecasts indicate a steady increase from 2024 to 2028, reaching 7.78% in 2028. The year-on-year growth is relatively stable, predicted to progress from 7.19% in 2025 to 7.78% in 2028, marking a consistent upward trend with approximately 0.39-0.2 percentage points increase annually. The average annual growth rate (CAGR) for this period is estimated at a positive pace.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential influences from increased research funding and international collaborations.
  • Advancements in technology and methodologies that may impact publication quality and citation rates.
  • The effect of policy changes in Brazilian research institutions on publication output and impact.

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