Forecast: Number of Air Passengers Carried in Nigeria

The number of air passengers in Nigeria increased from 4.2096 million in 2013 to 6.7953 million in 2023. Although the decade saw fluctuations, including a significant drop in 2020 due to the pandemic, the industry showed resilience with a strong recovery trajectory. In 2022 and 2023, the air passenger volume rose by 35.14% and 12.08%, respectively. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the past five years was -2.69% due to earlier disturbances.

Forecasts project a steady increase, with the number of passengers expected to reach 7.2636 million by 2028. The forecasted CAGR over the next five years is 1.06%, indicating modest but positive growth. Key trends for the future include:

  • Enhanced infrastructure and operational efficiency at airports.
  • Potential market growth from increased regional and international travel.
  • Impact of new airlines entering the market.
  • Shifts in consumer preferences and travel behavior post-COVID-19.

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