Since 2013, the number of scientific publications in ophthalmology in Malaysia has shown significant variability. Starting from 2014, the trends experienced a notable increase, peaking in 2017. Following this peak, the data exhibited fluctuations, with mid-2020 showing a moderate increase. However, from 2022, the series witnessed a slight decline and has been generally stable around 24.73 units in 2023. With a forecasted decline through 2028, the future trend predicts a subtle reduction, with the 5-year CAGR indicating a marginal reduction of -0.14% annually.
Notable variations include:
- Year-on-year fluctuations, especially prominent in 2017 (80.28%) and 2018 (-37.15%).
- The last two years showed slight variability, with a decrease of 9.94% in 2022 and a stabilization in 2023.
- The last 5-year CAGR has varied noticeably, reflecting the field's dynamic nature.
The forecast suggests a slight downward trend in scientific outputs. Future aspects to monitor include potential influences of emerging technologies, government funding, and global collaborations, along with how these factors might reverse or amplify the forecasted decline.
