Forecast: Total Number of Scientific Publications in Ophthalmology in Finland

The total number of scientific publications in Ophthalmology in Finland has shown notable fluctuations over the past several years. From 2013 to 2023, the number displayed a series of increases and decreases, standing at 28.72 units in 2023. Year-on-year variations have ranged from significant increases, such as 32.17% in 2013 and 35.04% in 2018, to notable declines, such as 20.1% in 2015 and 17.9% in 2020. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years stood at -0.7%, indicating slight contractions overall.

Key variations and trends:

  • 2013: 32.17% increase, 1.02% CAGR
  • 2014: 30.79% increase, 14.6% CAGR
  • 2015: -20.1% decrease
  • 2016: -9.49% decrease
  • 2017: -10.89% decrease
  • 2018: 35.04% increase
  • 2019: -9.65% decrease
  • 2020: -17.9% decrease
  • 2021: 7.8% increase
  • 2022: 14.34% increase
  • 2023: 5.6% increase

Looking ahead, the forecast indicates a gradual upward trend from 2024 to 2028, with an expected 5-year CAGR of 1.34% and overall growth of 6.89% over five years. During this period, the number of publications is predicted to continuously rise, reaching 31.24 units in 2028. This gentle upward trajectory suggests a stable yet modest increase in scientific output in Ophthalmology in Finland.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Emerging research areas within Ophthalmology
  • International collaborations and their impact on publication volumes
  • Government and institutional funding for ophthalmic research
  • Technological advancements and their influence on research productivity

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