The forecast for Germany's paper and cardboard waste exports outside the EU27 from 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent downward trend. The value is projected to decrease from 50.9 million euros in 2024 to 23.14 million euros in 2028. This reflects a year-on-year decline, with the export value contracting by around 7.6% in 2025 and further substantial declines in subsequent years. By 2023, the value stood at around 57.2 million euros. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) across the five-year period signals a significant average annual decrease in value as Germany potentially shifts resources or strategies.

Future trends to watch for include:

Regulatory changes within the EU on waste exports that could impact market dynamics further.
Evolving demand for recycled materials internationally, especially in emerging markets.
Advancements in recycling technology that may reduce export volumes by increasing domestic processing capacity.
Economic factors that might affect both production and export capacity in Germany.