The forecast for the total number of top-cited scientific publications in critical care nursing in the US shows a declining trend from 2024 through 2028. In 2023, this figure stood at 9.84 publications, marking the base year for the forecasted decline. From 2024 to 2025, a decrease of 10.37% is seen. This trend continues, with reductions of 9.22% in the subsequent year, 8.01% from 2026 to 2027, and 7.07% from 2027 to 2028. The 5-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) reflects an average annual decrease of 8.72%.
Future trends to watch for include the potential impact of evolving healthcare policies, technological advancements, and interdisciplinary collaborations which could reverse or accelerate this declining trend in critical care nursing research outputs.
