Honey production in Kenya has experienced significant fluctuations over the past decade. From a high of 35.0 thousand metric tons in 2015, production has steadily declined, reaching 17.0 thousand metric tons in 2023. This represents a notable decrease, especially evident over the previous five years, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -4.14%. The year-on-year variations have exhibited volatility, including substantial decreases between 2016 and 2017 and minor fluctuations in subsequent years. The forecast predicts continued decline, projecting a CAGR of -4.37% over the next five years, with production estimated to fall to 12.74 thousand metric tons by 2028.
Future trends to watch for:
- Environmental and climatic factors impacting bee populations.
- Technological advancements in beekeeping practices increasing productivity.
- Government policies and subsidies to support the apiculture industry.
- Global demand dynamics for natural sweeteners affecting local production incentives.
- Disease outbreaks among bee colonies and their management.
