Forecast: Maize Demand in Africa

Maize demand in Africa stood at 95.79 million metric tons in 2023. Over the past decade, maize demand has experienced fluctuations with notable growth periods, such as a 5.46% increase in 2015 and a 4.76% increase in 2017. Conversely, there was a decline of 3.15% in 2018. The year-on-year growth rates have been modest recently, with a 0.63% increase in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at 0.83%, indicating overall stability in demand.

Looking forward, the demand for maize in Africa is forecasted to grow, reaching 98.63 million metric tons by 2028. However, the forecasted five-year CAGR of 0.46% suggests a slower growth rate compared to the past five years.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Increased emphasis on sustainable agriculture practices that could influence maize production and supply chain dynamics.
  • Potential impact of climate change on maize yields, requiring adaptive strategies to ensure food security.
  • Technological advancements in crop management and yield improvement, which could enhance production efficiency.
  • Economic diversification efforts in African countries that may affect agricultural investments and priorities.
  • Policy and trade developments that could either foster or constrain maize trade within the continent.

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