The projected pneumonia mortality rates per 100,000 persons (standardised rates) in the US are as follows: 2024 - 11.8, 2025 - 11.3, 2026 - 10.7, 2027 - 10.1, 2028 - 9.5. The year-on-year percentage variations are 2025: -4.24%, 2026: -5.31%, 2027: -5.61%, 2028: -5.94%. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 is approximately -5.29%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of medical advancements, vaccination programs, and public health initiatives which could further reduce pneumonia mortality rates. Focus should also be given to potential new strains of pneumonia and public health responsiveness to emerging threats.