The forecast for the number of incident tuberculosis cases in the UK shows a declining trend from 2024 onwards. Starting at 4.28 thousand cases in 2024, the number is expected to decrease to 3.41 thousand by 2028. This represents a consistent year-on-year decrease with a cumulative average growth rate (CAGR) indicating a steady decline over the five-year period. Although data for 2023 is not explicitly provided, the decreasing trend suggests sustained public health improvements and effective TB management strategies.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential impacts of new public health policies on TB incidence.
- Effectiveness of vaccination and treatment programs.
- Changes in social determinants of health that may influence TB rates.
