In 2023, the total number of scientific publications in epidemiology in the United Arab Emirates stood at 4.9. Over the past 11 years, the number of publications fluctuated significantly, with notable peaks and troughs. The CAGR over the last five years is 14.41%, illustrating a strong overall upward trend despite periodic dips. Particularly notable is the sharp increase of 196.29% in 2020 followed by a slight decrease and stabilization in subsequent years. The year-on-year variation in the last two years shows a 5.3% increase in 2023 after a 23.39% drop in 2022.
Looking ahead, the number of publications is forecasted to continue rising, with a CAGR of 3.51% over the next five years, predicting moderate but steady growth. Expected trends include:
- Continued growth in publication volume due to increased investment in epidemiological research.
- Potential impact of emerging diseases and public health challenges on research priorities.
- Increasing collaboration between local and international research institutions.