The forecast for Germany's gross heat production from gas oil and diesel oil, excluding biofuel, shows a steady increase from 122.0 in 2024 to 130.83 thousand tonnes of oil equivalent by 2028. Compared to a baseline of 120.5 in 2023, this suggests an upward trend with consistent year-on-year growth. The forecasted annual growth rates are approximately 1.89% for 2024-2025, 1.81% for 2025-2026, 1.72% for 2026-2027, and 1.65% for 2027-2028, culminating in a 5-year CAGR of around 1.77%. This indicates a moderate but steady increase in reliance on these fuels.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of environmental regulations which may promote renewable energy sources, potentially affecting the growth trend, and the adoption of technology that could enhance fuel efficiency, thus possibly reducing the overall demand for gas and diesel oil in heat production.
