Forecast: Surface Production of Sub-Bituminous Coal in Turkey

Surface production of sub-bituminous coal in Turkey experienced significant fluctuations over the past decade. Actual volumes grew from 899 thousand metric tons in 2013 to 1790 thousand metric tons in 2023. Substantial growth was recorded in years like 2016, 2018, and 2019, whereas drops were seen in 2014, 2017, and 2021.

In 2023, the recorded output stood at 1790 thousand metric tons, reflecting a modest year-on-year growth of 2.72%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years was 0.43%. From 2024 onwards, forecasted data suggest a gradual increase, with a 5-year CAGR projected at 1.91% and an overall growth rate of 9.94% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include potential policy changes, technological advancements, and market demands which could influence production levels. Monitoring geopolitical tensions and regulatory shifts will be crucial as they can significantly impact Turkey's coal mining output and strategy.

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