Forecast: Import of Bituminous Coal to Poland

Over the past decade, Poland’s import of bituminous coal has experienced significant fluctuations. The value stood at 7.1386 Billion Kilograms in 2013, growing steadily until a notable drop in 2015 and 2016. A substantial surge occurred in 2017, followed by another peak in 2018. A slight decline and stabilization are seen through 2019 to 2021, with 2022 showing another significant increase of 16.21% year-on-year. In 2023, imports reached 16.627 Billion Kilograms, marking a 4.3% year-on-year growth. Over the last five years, the CAGR stood at 2.52%. Forecasts for subsequent years indicate continued growth and a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 2.86%, predicting a total growth rate of 15.12% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in Poland’s energy policies with a focus on renewable sources, changes in global coal supply chains, and economic factors influencing coal demand and pricing. Additionally, the geopolitical landscape could impact import levels, as well as technological advancements in cleaner coal technologies affecting import volumes.

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