The production of whole fresh sheep milk in Kenya has demonstrated a fluctuating yet overall upward trend. In 2023, the production stood at 114.75 thousand metric tons. From 2013 to 2023, there were notable spikes and troughs, notably significant increases in 2018 and 2019 with a year-on-year growth of 29.71% and 24.14% respectively. A considerable drop occurred in 2020 by -8.07%. However, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the past five years (2018-2023) averaged at 5.84%, indicating a solid upward trajectory.
Looking forward, a steady upward trend is projected with a forecasted CAGR of 2.38% from 2024 to 2028. This suggests consistent growth, albeit at a more modest pace compared to recent years. By 2028, production is expected to reach 133.48 thousand metric tons, representing cumulative growth of 12.46% over this period.
For future trends, watch for potential impacts of climate change on sheep farming, advancements in agricultural practices, government policies regarding agricultural subsidies, and changes in market demand both locally and internationally. These factors could influence production outcomes significantly.
