The municipal waste generated per capita in Italy is forecasted to steadily decline from 456.98 kilograms in 2024 to 444.7 kilograms by 2028. This declining trend indicates a modest reduction in waste generation per person. Comparing 2024 and 2025, there is a decrease of approximately 0.91%, and from 2025 to 2026, a further 0.73% decrease. The projected figures reflect a continuous downward trajectory with decreasing annual rates over this five-year period. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) shows an average annual decline of around 0.68%.
Future trends to watch for include advances in waste management technologies, increased recycling rates, and heightened public awareness about sustainability. These factors could further influence waste reduction per capita, alongside regulatory measures implemented by the government and the European Union aimed at minimizing overall waste generation and promoting circular economy practices.