Forecast: Municipal Waste Disposed to Landfills in Finland

The municipal waste disposed of in landfills in Finland has undergone significant shifts over the last decade. From 2013 to 2016, there was a dramatic decline, with the annual volume decreasing from 25.08 Units to just 3.09 Units. This trend continued more linearly, hovering close to 0.7 Units from 2017 onwards. In 2023, the value stood at 0.97 Units.

Year-on-year variations reveal a fluctuating trend. The sharpest drops were seen between 2013 and 2016, with a notable year-on-year reduction of up to 75.4% in 2017. However, since 2019, the variations show a mix of increases and decreases, indicating a more stabilized pattern. Over the past two years, year-on-year increases were observed with 19.44% in 2022 and 12.79% in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at 10.45%, indicating a growth trajectory in the latter period analyzed.

Looking to the future, the forecast from 2024 to 2028 suggests a gradual increase, with an expected 2.43% CAGR and a forecasted five-year growth rate of 12.75%. Future trends to watch for include the potential impacts of heightened recycling efforts, stricter regulations, and technological advancements in waste management, which could all affect the volume of waste disposed of in landfills.

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