The forecast for the total number of top 10% cited scientific publications in music in Canada shows a steady decline from 2024 to 2028, with values decreasing from 6.02 publications in 2024 to 5.76 in 2028. This reflects a decreasing trend in high-impact Canadian music research publications.
Year-on-year variances highlight a slight dip: 2024-2025 by approximately 0.99%, 2025-2026 by about 1.17%, 2026-2027 by around 1.19%, and 2027-2028 by roughly 1.03%. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates a subtle downward trend of approximately -1.11% annually.
Future trends to watch for include the influence of digital transformation on music research, potential shifts in funding allocation, and international collaboration impacts on publication citations. Furthermore, exploring interdisciplinary approaches could foster growth and innovation in Canadian music research citations.
