Forecast: Volume of Road Freight Transport in Canada

Over the years, the volume of road freight transport in Canada has experienced significant fluctuations. From 2013 to 2019, there was a general upward trend, peaking at 329.5 billion tonne kilometers in 2019. This trend was interrupted in 2020 by a sharp decline of 15.23%, likely due to the global pandemic. Subsequent years saw a recovery, with volumes reaching 356.82 billion tonne kilometers in 2023.

Analysis of year-on-year variations shows significant growth in some years, such as nearly 10% in 2017 and over 16% in 2021. By 2023, the volume growth had stabilized with a modest increase of 1.89%. The 5-year CAGR as of 2023 stands at 2.05%, indicating steady growth over the recent period.

Looking forward, the forecasted data show an ongoing incremental increase in road freight volume, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 1.47% up to 2028. This suggests a continued but slower growth trajectory compared to the past decade.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Impact of technological advancements in logistics and transport.
  • Regulatory changes regarding emissions and sustainability.
  • Potential economic fluctuations affecting freight demand.
  • Shifts in trade patterns and their impact on freight volumes.

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