In 2023, the area of pome fruits converted to and under conversion to organic farming stood at 1009 hectares. Forecasted data indicate a steady decline, with a year-on-year reduction of approximately 2% expected through 2028. Specifically, the anticipated annual contraction rates are 1.93% from 2024 to 2025, 1.97% from 2025 to 2026, 1.90% from 2026 to 2027, and 1.94% from 2027 to 2028. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected to be around -1.95%.
Future trends to watch:
- Potential shifts in consumer preferences towards organic products, which could stabilize or increase organic farming conversion rates.
- Government incentives for organic farming could alter the forecast by supporting sustainable agricultural practices.
- Technological advancements that reduce costs and increase efficiency in organic farming may impact future conversion rates.
