As of 2023, Italy's production of Fresh Atlantic Chub Mackerel in capture fisheries was higher than the forecasts for subsequent years. The data indicates a declining trend in production, with forecasts showing a reduction from 498.1 metric tons in 2024 to 382.6 metric tons in 2028. The year-on-year decrease from 2024 to 2025 is 5.96%, followed by a 6.21% drop from 2025 to 2026, a 6.49% decline from 2026 to 2027, and a 6.85% reduction from 2027 to 2028. The CAGR over this period is approximately -6.39%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Changes in environmental policies or eco-sustainability initiatives that might impact fishing quotas.
- Market demand fluctuations, which could affect the capture rates and economic viability of chub mackerel fisheries.
- Technological advancements in fishing techniques potentially influencing catch efficiency and volume.
- Climate change effects on marine biodiversity that may alter the distribution and availability of chub mackerel.
