Forecast: Number of Fixed Telephone Subscriptions in Thailand

The number of fixed telephone subscriptions in Thailand has exhibited a general downward trend from 2013 to 2023, marked by fluctuations particularly in 2017, when an anomalous surge occurred. As of 2023, the volume stood at 4.3956 million, indicating a continued decline compared to previous years. Over the last two years, the year-on-year variation showed a slight increase of 0.63% in 2023, following a 5.74% decrease in 2022. The five-year CAGR up to 2023 was recorded at -6.22%, consistent with the long-term trend of reduced adoption.

Looking forward, the forecasted data from 2024 onward predicts a further decline in fixed telephone subscriptions, with an expected five-year CAGR of -6.54%. By 2028, the volume is anticipated to decrease by 28.7% from its 2023 level, reaching approximately 2.9193 million subscriptions. This forecast underscores a continuous downward trajectory.

• Declining Adoption Rate of Fixed Telephone Services: The negative trend in fixed telephone subscriptions is likely to persist as consumers continue to prefer mobile and internet-based communication methods.
• Technological Advancements: Innovations in telecommunications could further reduce the need for fixed lines, accelerating the shift to mobile and digital platforms.
• Policy and Infrastructure: Changes in government policy and improvements in infrastructure might affect the future pace of decline by either slowing down or further hastening the obsolescence of fixed telephone lines.