The analysis of road passenger transport movements in Poland from 2013 to 2023 shows notable fluctuations. The market experienced steady growth from 2013 to 2019 with the value increasing from 231.12 billion passenger kilometers to 268.49 billion passenger kilometers. The year 2020 saw a sharp decline of 13.5%, attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on mobility. However, the sector rebounded in 2021 and 2022, recording a 8.86% and 4.15% increase respectively. In 2023, the value stood at 263.49 billion passenger kilometers, showing a marginal year-on-year increase of 0.072%.
Over the last five years, from 2018 to 2023, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is modest at 0.1%. Moving forward, the period from 2024 to 2028 is forecasted to show a steady growth with an expected five-year CAGR of 0.96% and an overall five-year growth rate of 4.9%.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in green transportation technologies and the increasing shift towards electric vehicles, which could significantly affect passenger transport dynamics. Moreover, changes in urbanization patterns and mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) platforms are expected to further influence travel behavior and transportation infrastructure.
