Forecast: Risk of Catastrophic Health Expenditure Due to Surgical Care in India

In 2023, the percentage of the population facing catastrophic health expenditure due to surgical care in India stood at 23.4%. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent downward trend, with the percentage decreasing from 21.1% in 2024 to 11.2% in 2028. This indicates a significant improvement in mitigating the financial burden of surgical care on the population.

The year-on-year variation reveals a steady decline:

  • -11.85% from 2024 to 2025
  • -13.44% from 2025 to 2026
  • -14.91% from 2026 to 2027
  • -18.25% from 2027 to 2028
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years is -11.13% per year, reflecting the overall reduction in risk of catastrophic health expenditures due to surgical care.

Future trends to watch for include the continuing impact of government health initiatives, improvements in healthcare infrastructure, and the role of health insurance coverage expansion. Keeping an eye on these factors can provide a better understanding of the sustainability of this decline and any regional disparities that might emerge.

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