In 2023, the number of surgery specialists in the US was estimated at 135.06 thousand. From 2013 to 2023, there was a noticeable though gradual increase in the number of specialists, with year-on-year growth rates varying from 0.28% to 3.2%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years (2019-2023) was around 0.93%. Notably, the year-on-year variation in 2022 and 2023 was 0.28% and 0.55%, respectively.

Looking towards the future, the forecasted data points to a continued growth, reaching 138.64 thousand by 2028. This growth is anticipated to be steady but moderate, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.42% and an overall growth rate of 2.1% for the next five years.

Future trends to watch for include:

Adoption of new technologies in surgical procedures.
Demographic shifts, including an aging population, which may drive higher demand for surgical specialists.
Changes in healthcare policies and education pathways potentially affecting the supply of new specialists.