The forecasted import of coke, semi-coke of coal, lignite, peat, and retort carbo to China is projected to rise steadily from 85.089 million kilograms in 2024 to 98.495 million kilograms in 2028. This represents an average annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period. The year-on-year growth indicates a stable increase of roughly 4% annually, reflecting consistent demand for these materials in China's energy and industrial sectors. In 2023, the import volume stood at slightly lower levels, reinforcing the growth trend projected for the upcoming years.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in China's energy policy towards greener alternatives, which could affect demand. Additionally, fluctuations in global commodity prices or supply chain disruptions could impact import volumes. Monitoring geopolitical developments and trade relations, particularly with major export countries, will be crucial for refined forecast adjustments.