Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition in India

The share of India's scientific publications in the top 10% of cited works in computer vision and pattern recognition is on a slow decline, as projected from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, this share was 3.63%, slightly above the forecasted value of 3.61% for 2024. Year-on-year, the figures show a gradual decrease: -0.83% in 2025, -0.56% in 2026, -0.56% in 2027, and -0.28% in 2028. This indicates a consistent yet negligible dip, with a five-year CAGR of -0.55%.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The rise of international collaborations in India’s computer vision research which could counteract the declining trend.
  • A focus on AI-driven applications, potentially boosting citation impact.
  • Increased governmental and institutional support for research initiatives to enhance India's global research standing.

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