The forecast data starting from 2024 indicate a gradual decline in long-term residence permits granted to Russian citizens in France, from 3.5 thousand in 2024 to 3.42 thousand by 2028. Given that the number was previously stable in 2023, this represents a modest yet consistent downward trend.
Year-on-year analysis shows a descent of approximately 0.57% annually over the forecast period. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) suggests a long-term decrease of about 0.43% year on year, reflecting a persistent yet modest reduction in permits issued.
Future trends to watch for include policy changes due to geopolitical tensions, changes in bilateral relationships, and the evolving economic landscape in both Russia and the EU. These factors might further influence migration patterns and residence permit issuances in the coming years.
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