Forecast: Renewable Municipal Waste Energy Supply in Italy

Italy's renewable municipal waste energy supply showed fluctuations in the last decade, increasing modestly from 2013 to 2015 before peaking in 2016. Post-2016, it demonstrated a general declining trend with minor variations, reaching 9.49 Thousand Gigawatthours in 2023. Despite occasional upticks, the long-term trend tilts toward reduction. From 2019 to 2023, year-on-year variations consistently hovered around negative values, with slight declines each year. The 5-year CAGR for this period averaged around -0.74%.

Future projections indicate a continued gradual decline, with forecasts suggesting a 5-year CAGR of -0.61% by 2028. Key aspects to monitor include advancements in waste-to-energy technologies, policy changes favoring renewable sources, and efforts to boost waste recycling rates which can heighten energy output from municipal waste.

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