The yield of cashew nuts in Kenya has shown a significant decline from 2013 to 2023, dropping from 9.76 to 5.43 thousand hectograms per hectare. The year-on-year variation peaked at 13.34% in 2015 but declined sharply by -27.96% in 2016, continuing the downtrend to -2.37% in the last two years. The CAGR over the last five years was -2.36%. The yield forecast for the next five years predicts a further decline to 4.8 thousand hectograms per hectare by 2028, with a forecasted negative CAGR of -1.94%.
Future trends to watch for include potential changes in agricultural practices, climate impacts, and government policies affecting cashew nut production. Monitoring these factors could provide insights into reversing the declining yield trend.
