In 2023, France's land transport fuel trade balance stood at -2,400,000 metric tons, marking a negative balance that is forecasted to deepen gradually over the subsequent years. From 2024 to 2028, the trade balance is projected to range between -2,500,000 and -2,520,000 metric tons. The year-on-year variation from 2024 to 2025 is 0%, and the variation from 2025 to 2026 reflects a slight worsening of approximately 0.4%, which continues at this pace towards 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the 5-year forecast period suggests a consistent trend of a small annual increase in deficit.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in fuel technology, such as increased adoption of electric vehicles, which could alter fuel demand dynamics. Additionally, policy changes aimed at reducing carbon emissions could further impact France's trade balance in land transport fuels, either through decreased consumption or increased diversification of fuel sources.
