Forecast: Volume of Rail Passenger Transport in Poland

From 2013 to 2019, rail passenger transport volume in Poland saw steady growth, peaking in 2019 at 21.97 billion passenger kilometers. However, the COVID-19 pandemic caused a significant decline in 2020 (-43.01%), followed by a robust recovery in 2021 and an exceptional increase in 2022, before dropping again in 2023 to 19.28 billion passenger kilometers. The forecast from 2024 suggests a stable yet moderate growth with a CAGR of 1.1% over the next five years, reaching 20.67 billion passenger kilometers by 2028.

Key trends to watch for:

  • The impact of ongoing COVID-19 recovery and potential future health crises.
  • Infrastructure investments and improvements in rail services.
  • Shifts in passenger preferences towards environmentally friendly travel.
  • Economic factors and their influence on travel demand.

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