Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Dermatology in Brazil

In 2023, the share of Brazil's dermatology publications among the world's top 10% cited was slightly below 6.79%. Moving into the forecast from 2024 to 2028, it is projected to stabilize at around 6.8%. This indicates minimal growth at the outset, followed by a plateau for the subsequent years. The year-on-year increase for 2024 to 2025 is modest, and the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period suggests a stable trend, with minimal variation in percentage.

Future Trends to Watch:

  • Emergence of collaborative international research efforts potentially increasing citation impact.
  • Potential policy changes and funding in Brazilian scientific research and innovation.
  • Advancements in dermatology and biotechnology driving higher citation rates.

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