The Danish cake and pastry market exhibited significant fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. The market saw a general upward trend between 2013 and 2017, peaking at 46.541 million kilograms in 2017. However, a sharp decline occurred in 2018, leading to a series of lower values. Despite a temporary recovery in 2020, with a 13.16% increase, the market continued its downward trend, closing 2023 at 38.665 million kilograms, a 1.35% decline from the previous year. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years suggests an average annual decline of 1.38%.
Looking forward, the forecast predicts a consistent decrease in production volume, with an anticipated CAGR of -1.1% over the next five years, culminating in a value of 36.091 million kilograms by 2028, indicating a 5.37% reduction from 2023 levels.
- Increased health consciousness among consumers may continue to drive the decline in cake and pastry consumption.
- Economic factors, such as price inflation and production costs, could further impact the market dynamics.
- Innovations in healthier and alternative dessert options may create shifts in consumer preferences.