In 2023, the number of cataract surgeries performed in Norway was recorded at 2.66 thousand outpatient cases. Moving into 2024, the forecasted value remains steady at 2.63 thousand. The forecast indicates a gradual decline in the number of surgeries year-on-year: 2.59 thousand in 2025, 2.56 thousand in 2026, 2.53 thousand in 2027, and 2.51 thousand in 2028.
Key observations and trends noted:
- The year-on-year variation from 2024 to 2025 is -1.5%.
- The year-on-year variation from 2025 to 2026 is -1.2%.
- From 2026 to 2027, the decline is -1.2%.
- From 2027 to 2028, the decrease is -0.8%.
- The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five years from 2023 to 2028 shows an average annual decrease of -1.1%.
Future trends to watch for:
- Advancements in minimally invasive surgical techniques which could alter patient recovery times and the overall number of surgeries needed.
- Demographic shifts, particularly in the aging population, which might impact the demand for cataract surgeries.
- Potential changes in healthcare policies and insurance coverage that could affect accessibility to these procedures.