In 2023, the share of scientific publications from Brazil ranked among the world's top 10% most-cited in ophthalmology was approximately 5.92%. Moving into the forecast period from 2024 to 2028, a slight upward trend is projected, with values increasing from 5.93% to 5.97%. This indicates a year-on-year growth of about 0.16% in 2025 and a slightly lower increase of about 0.17% annually from 2026 onwards. Over the entire five-year outlook from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is expected to be around 0.18%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- The potential impact of increased research funding, which could enhance publication quality and citation rates.
- Collaborations with international institutions that may elevate Brazil's scientific profile in ophthalmology research.
- Technological advancements enabling more robust research methodologies, possibly influencing citation growth positively.
