As of 2023, fossil energy consumption in rail transport in Italy was recorded at 3.75 thousand GWh. Forecasts for the coming years indicate a steady decline, with 2024 at 3.71 thousand GWh and continuing down to 3.55 thousand GWh by 2028. Year-on-year variations from 2024 to 2028 show a consistent decrease of approximately 1% annually. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period is projected to be negative, reinforcing the declining trend.
Future trends to watch for include increased investment in electrification of rail networks, advancements in alternative energy sources for rail transport, and policy measures aimed at reducing the carbon footprint of Italy's rail sector. These factors could further influence the decline in fossil energy consumption.