Forecast: Length of Standard Gauge Non-Electrified Railway Lines in Italy

The length of standard gauge non-electrified railway lines in Italy decreased gradually from 2024 onwards, with forecasts showing a decline from 4.58 thousand kilometers in 2024 to 4.49 thousand kilometers by 2028. As of 2023, the actual length was slightly higher at 4.6 thousand kilometers. The forecast indicates a year-on-year percentage change of approximately -0.65% from 2024 to 2025 and a similar trend through subsequent years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2023 to 2028 suggests an average annual decline of about -0.47%.

Future trends to watch for include technological advancements in rail transport and increasing investments in electrified railway systems, which may further accelerate the replacement of non-electrified lines, potentially leading to a steeper reduction in their overall length beyond 2028.

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