Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Molecular Biology in China

In China, the share of corresponding/leading authors in molecular biology publications has shown a strong upward trajectory from 2024 to 2028, with slight year-on-year increases each subsequent year. From actual data in 2023, where the share was at approximately 98.63%, the forecasted data suggests a steady increase, reaching 99.21% by 2028. The year-on-year growth varies modestly but remains consistently positive, reflecting China's growing emphasis on research leadership.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Increasing focus on domestic researchers taking leading roles in publications.
  • Potential influence of policy changes aimed at boosting China's scientific global leadership.
  • Growth in international collaborations without affecting the proportion of domestic leading authors.

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