The share of Japan's scientific publications in developmental biology that are among the world's top 10% most-cited publications is forecasted to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, this share was at its highest before the forecasted decrease began. Year-on-year variations highlight a consistent negative trend, with a noticeable decline of approximately 3.3% per year. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these years shows an average reduction of about 3.6% annually.
Future trends to watch for include:
- The impact of Japan's research funding policies on publication quality and citation rates.
- Collaborative efforts between Japanese institutions and international partners to boost research visibility.
- Advancements in developmental biology that could reverse the negative citation trend.
