Forecast: Arable and Permanent Cropland Agricultural Area in Sweden

Based on the data, Sweden's arable and permanent cropland area has been steadily declining from 2.59 million hectares in 2013 to 2.53 million hectares in 2023. The year-on-year variation has generally been negative, reflecting a contraction in arable land area each year, ranging from minimal changes at -0.039% in 2020 to more significant variations like -0.51% in 2018. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years is approximately -0.083%, indicating a consistent yet slight downward trend.

Looking forward, forecasts suggest this trend will continue, with the land area expected to decrease to 2.51 million hectares by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR is -0.13%, showing a slight but continued decline in the agricultural footprint.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Advances in agricultural technology aimed at optimizing yield on smaller land areas.
  • Policy changes or initiatives aimed at preserving agricultural land.
  • Impact of climate change and sustainability practices on land use.
  • Urbanization and its encroachment on arable land areas.

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