The forecast for self-employed individuals in the waste collection, treatment, and disposal activities, materials recovery sector in the US indicates a significant decline from 11,000 in 2024 to 2,000 by 2028. This represents a dramatic year-on-year decrease, particularly sharp after 2025. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period reflects a steady negative trend as the sector contracts significantly.

Future trends to watch for:

Increasing automation and technology could reduce self-employment opportunities further.
Regulatory changes or environmental policies may create niche opportunities.
Shifts in consumer behavior towards sustainability may impact this sector’s dynamics.