Forecast: Employment in Food and Beverage Service Activities in the US

The employment in Food and Beverage Service Activities in the US has shown steady growth from 2013 to 2023, increasing from 8.14 million to 10.3 million full-time equivalent (FTE) jobs. Year-on-year changes indicate variability, with the highest growth rate of 4.83% in 2015 and a dip to around 1.48% in recent years. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) also reflected a decline from 3.78% in 2015 to 1.63% by 2023. Future forecasts predict moderate growth, with employment reaching 11.01 million FTE jobs by 2028, reflecting a forecast 5-year CAGR of 1.05%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Impact of technological advancements and automation on workforce demand.
  • Shifts in consumer dining preferences, such as increased demand for delivery and takeout.
  • Regulatory changes affecting the industry, including wage and labor laws.
  • Economic factors, including inflation and recession risks, which may affect discretionary spending on dining out.
  • Post-pandemic recovery and potential changes in tourism and travel, influencing restaurant patronage and subsequent employment.

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