Kenya's production of oranges and mandarins has shown a clear decline over the years, dropping from 153.0 thousand metric tons in 2014 to 73.0 thousand metric tons in 2023. The year-on-year variation reveals significant fluctuations, with the most notable decreases from 2014 to 2017 and substantial recovery only in 2018. However, the downward trend resumed post-2018, leading to a 5.19% reduction in 2023 from the previous year. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the period from 2018 to 2023 is -6.1%, indicating a consistent decrease in production levels.
Looking into future trends, the forecast anticipates a continued decline, reaching 51.43 thousand metric tons by 2028. The expected CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is -5.55%, pointing towards an overall reduction of 24.83% over this period. Observing these trends is essential for stakeholders to adapt strategies that mitigate negative impacts and explore sustainable agricultural practices.
